Millions of people are probably wondering what this financial crisis is really about. Now I'm not pretending to be some kind of expert economist, but I do know a little about finance. I won't pretend to be as smart as Supergurl, but I'll certainly try.
Its all about cash flow. The old saying goes, "Cash is King." Yes, it is. Cash comes from us: the consumers, the investors, the taxpayers, the savors...all of the above. When we put our money in the banks, our banks use our money to lend and earn interest for us (the depositors) and for the banking institutions (the lenders) administering the loans. Banks anticipate that we won't all pull our money out when times get rough; therefore, most banks lend more than what their cash reserves can handle. When the entire herd rushes to the "cash machine" to withdraw all of the money, panic sets in. And this is what actually has been happening over the past several weeks. I won't bore you with actual money figures, for I'm merely trying to describe present market behavior.
The "big money" wants to pull all of their cash out because confidence in the financial markets has tanked. People are afraid of their money security. This is akin to stuffing money under the mattress. And when everyone stuffs their money under their mattresses, there is no money left to lend. This is what the talking heads refer to as "credit drying up."
We absolutely do not want the credit markets to dry up because credit drives economic growth. It always has and always will. Borrowing essentially represents an individual or partnership betting on future income potential with a promise to pay back the original debt plus interest. Most entrepreneurs cannot make money without money, which is why most firms either rely on startup loans to launch new businesses or lines of credit to fund inventory. In the residential world, borrowing enables individuals and families to buy homes now rather than having to save up for 30 years while living in a rental property. Borrowing has improved our ways of life. Period. So when credit dries, growth slams to a screeching halt causing most economies to fall into a tailspin.
So that is really what this crisis is all about: people want their money under their mattresses, either in the form of dollars or in the form of some other tangible asset like...oh, I don't know...say...GOLD??!!!! Yes folks, this is the reason why gold has skyrocketed in value. It is not backed by debt like the US currency. It is a valuable and tangible asset that has stood the test of time. After all, why back your currency with risky collateral debt when you can pull a bar of gold from the closet? Nixon was dead wrong pulling our currency off of the gold standard. Dead wrong. Fucker.
Solvency is simply defined as the ability to pay all current liabilities with cash. The massive lending institutions like Freddie & mother fuckin' Fannie are in the tank because they don't have the solvency to pay the obligations on all the crap loans out there owned by millions of people around the world, including you and me who might own some of these portfolios in our retirement accounts. And its partly their fault, and partly the government's fault forcing them to loan money to people who can't pay it back. Fuck fuck fuck has political correctness not shown its ugly face to you people, yet? The lack of solvency has caused panic in the market, causing millions of investors around the world to pull their cash from the market. And when the market runs out of money, there will be no more money left to lend. And for those investors out there looking for their monthly payments on existing loans? Well, those who own the good loans get paid (and that money paid will probably not be reinvested in the market), and those who own the bad loans are pretty much fucked.
That's my description of this mess. I probably sucked, but I tried.
BEER ME!!!!!
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12 comments:
Hey Paul, can you translate that into Engrish prease?
You're kidding! Alright, maybe I can go back and reword some of it.
Look at it this way, if you owe $2 and you only have $1 and you know you won't be able to get the other $1, you're fucked. Now multiply that by trillions of dollars and....wallah!!!...you have a financial crisis! Howz dat bitch?
Alright... simmer down now, Paul...
...simmah!
I didn't mean to get yer panties in a buntch, dude, I just don't know a fuckin' thing about it. Been rentin' my entire life. Did you forget where I reside? Eh, I know, that's a shitty excuse.
Maybe next time, I'll be a little more PC about it and ask you where I can get a Section 8 on the Fourteenth hole and the ultimate gummint hand out. To be honest, I won't, but c'mon...
Fuck man, my Dad told me from the start not to "buy" anything I couldn't afford. If I couldn't afford it, then I couldn't afford it. Simple.
Thus, everything that I actually own, I fucking own! As a kid, I had to earn that shit sometimes. If I couldn't afford it, I couldn't afford it...
Party ON, BITCH!
Actually I understood quite well, Paul. My money is invested. In my old age, I sold my condo bought with the sale of my house. That's what older people do. Now renting a nice little apartment easy to take care of. Depending on investment money to live well. Have enough cash flow to carry me for one year. Get a decent retirement pension which will never dry up. There's a big temptation at the moment to get my money out of the market. It's my son's inheritance. I could put it under the mattress. Don't want to give it to them unless they absolutely need it. They're fine so far. I don't know what to do. I thought the money was safe. The bank manager says to keep the investments. My invested money is helping Canada's economy, and then I'll regain what I'm losing.It's a headache...
I wish I was on welfare....;-)
Claudia----Good call! Why the hell not get on welfare. Half of the population in this nation-including the losers, illigals, leeches, politicans(liberals), terror cells, DMV, Eletric companies, oil companies, we all support and pay the bills for in this nation are sucking us dry.....
The BEER money has to come from somwhere. I suppose you really want to start a fire throwing gas on the pyre among a group like this:) RB
Michelle Malkin had an interesting point of view on townhall.com this week - highlighting the real estate and mortgage industry's devotion to financing loans for illegal immigrants and how that has been a major contributor to the crisis.
Fuck man, my Dad told me from the start not to "buy" anything I couldn't afford.
That's at the heart of it. The other "no shit" issue is: don't lend to people with bad credit.
One thing that really pisses me off is insolvent real estate speculators. We have many empty new houses sitting around here that were built as spec homes ... and then they didn't sell. Not pretty. But an out-of-area investor doesn't have to look at the mess he left behind.
I'm just impressed all you guys read my bullshit. I can't think of a more boring topic but I was a little buzzed and needed to unload my brain on the blog that night.
As long as you got drunk first, we won't fault you Paul...
...bitch!
i am just aglow with the constant mommylove out of you guys. thank you for the accolades, my sweetshaven sonbrother. believe me, i need it.
even gold requires a market to establish value. the freak out has already created phenomenal values, but not in gold.
unfortunately, the values increase the closer you get to risk. AS USUAL.
scares me to see congress pretend to understand, much less solve the shit.
Paul - You didn't write bullshit. At least my bank manager said that it was good. I saw her on Friday. Brought your post. Wanted to know what's what's. Ten years ago, the only condition I had put for my investments was: "NO Muslim countries. NO African countries, or any, run by dictators." She had asked "Also Green?" I laughed so much that she got the message.
Of course, my (little) money is loaned to American real estate. It always was the best place to make money. Is it safe? Not now. Should I take it out? It would be with a hefty loss. The Market will suffer even more if all little lenders do it. If I leave it there, and USA bails Wall Street, it will slowly, slowly, slowly go back to what it was 3 weeks ago. I might be dead by then. If USA doesn't bail, I'll loose most of my money on Monday. I'm taking a chance...
Of course, I don't want any of you to pay more taxes for me. But damn it all! I wasn't trying to get rich. I worked hard all my life, and scrimped to save a little bit. I was just trying to get my saving to grow for my grandchildren's education. I thought your country knew what it was doing. I don't say the word "F" in English. I heard it too often from my British ex. But allow me to say the French equivalent: Va the faire foutre USA. Merde! Merde! Merde!
I'm not in deep trouble because my base is solid. But it's no fun, at my age, to see my "little extra" gone because of other people's greed and stupidity.
With all my love, as always...
I should have said: Va the faire foutre, USA CAPITALISTS. I have nothing against the little fellows who will suffer as much, and maybe, more than I will.
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